January 17, 2005
Curse this Bush Economy!
Hey, have you noticed the phrase "the Bush economy" became less popular once it started heating up? Odd, that. Personally, I kind of like it.
At any rate... Deacon at Power Line:
Remeber all those stories about the Bush spending spree and the huge deficit crisis it was creating? Well, that deficit is now shrinking rapidly. And, while you're not likely to find out about this from the MSM, Lawrence Kudlow has the story in the Washington Times.Well, okay, this is good news, but I'm not sure I'd go quite that far. It is economic growth that is responsible for the deficit reduction Deacon highlights here, and while I'm a fan of the president's tax cuts, I haven't seen evidence that the cuts, which as I recall were small relative to the size of the economy, had more than a minor effect. As a rule, it seems to me that while government policy affects the economy, it's the free market, more than anything else, that drives the business cycle.Kudlow points out that since the end of last September, tax collections have grown at 10.5 percent, while federal cash outlays have risen only 6.1 percent. At this rate, the 2005 deficit would drop to $355 billion from $413 in 2004. As a fraction of projected gross domestic product the deficit would fall to 2.9 percent from last year's 3.6 percent.
It appears, then, that the Bush deficits were product of the recession he inhertied and the slowdown caused by 9/11. Similarly, it appears that the Bush tax cuts, by stimulating the economy, has produced an explosion in tax revenues that is causing the deficit to narrow significantly.
Also, if deficits are a problem, surely it's because of the debt they cause? As of last Thursday, that debt stood at $7,601,173,485,023.73. If high debts are indeed a legitimate concern, it might be a little early to be declaring the crisis over.
Posted by David Gaw in Current Affairs & Politics at January 17, 2005 07:55 AM
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